Category: Market Movers

  • Case for Gold

    For 5,000 years, gold has served as a store of wealth, providing security that other investments cannot equal. It hedges against currency deflation, geopolitical risk, and product price inflation. 

    GOLD 

    The yellow metal has a wide range of commercial applications. It is inert; does not tarnish or corrode. Gold does not require lubrication, maintenance, or repair. It can also be melted and molded easily into wires. As well as hammered into micro-thin sheets or alloyed with other metals.

    It is non-allergenic and conducts electricity. Gold is most commonly used in jewelry due to its beauty and shine.

    It is, nevertheless, used in electronics, space exploration, and medicine (including dentistry and treatment for rheumatoid arthritis and cancer). Gold has always been linked with achievement — Olympic medals, Oscars, and Grammy awards are all gold-plated.

    Gold mining has been falling since 2000, while demand has increased. This lends credence to the theory that the price will climb. Because it is not positively connected with stocks or bonds, it is a good complement to a portfolio diversification strategy.

    It is important to note that gold dealers, pricing, and fees are not regulated. While you may pick securities, many of them (such as gold mining equities) frequently depart from the metal’s price. It never evaporates or expires. Its supply expands year after year, implying that growing demand is required only to keep prices from plummeting.

    For at least four millennia, gold and silver. It has served as a store of value and a means of trade in every civilization in every corner of the globe. It provides unparalleled access to people of various economic backgrounds and technological knowledge. Gold is the ultimate money of central banks, while silver is the cash of the people. 

    Bitcoin

    Bitcoin, on the other hand, is the only completely noncorrelated asset type that provides exceptional benefits to portfolio diversification (improved returns with lower risk).

    As a digital asset, Bitcoin is the easiest to hold since it is available over the internet at any time and from any location. The Bitcoin network has never been hacked, giving investors trust. Also, there are hundreds of business users – revolutionizing every aspect of global trade.

    There is also an opportunity for cryptocurrencies because their digital character distinguishes them from gold and silver. However, this feature assures that cryptocurrencies will never replace gold and silver, and will instead increase the metal’s value.”

    Many people believe that Bitcoin and blockchain, the underlying technology used to generate bitcoin, are the most transformative technical advancements since the internet itself. In fact, many people refer to Bitcoin as “Internet 3.0”. It’s because, unlike the original internet, which linked people (think Facebook), and Internet 2.0, which connected objects (Bluetooth), Internet 3.0 links money (Bitcoin).

    The most persuasive argument, however, is that, unlike gold, the supply of Bitcoin is really set. Only 21 million Bitcoins will ever be created, representing a fixed supply in the face of rapidly expanding demand. Individuals were the only ones that purchased Bitcoin in their early days.

    While bitcoin is the “new kid on the block,” it’s disputed whether it will cut into gold’s market share for a variety of reasons. Because neither Bitcoin nor gold can be diluted or debased. They offer considerable benefits over fiat currencies. There is a chance that bitcoin will cease to exist as a result of unfriendly legislation. Some bitcoin derivatives are already illegal. Companies such as Facebook that have sought to launch cryptocurrency have been thwarted.

    So, while bitcoin is a newer investment that is undoubtedly getting a lot of attention, gold has held its worth for millennia. It is exceedingly doubtful that bitcoin will have the same amount of durability.

    Bitcoin is just 10 years old and has only existed in one monetary regime. The standard variation of bitcoin’s price is 75%. Making it an ineffective store of value.

    Recent price history demonstrates a significant tilt toward speculative interest. So much so that corporations are enticed to place bitcoin on corporate balance sheets to help develop assets in excess of business performance.

    Cryptocurrency is an inadequate monetary alternative. In the United States, submitting your taxes necessitates the voluntary declaration of your bitcoin gains. If a cryptocurrency transaction automatically generated an IRS statement, as a stockbroker transaction does, the speculative outlook may deteriorate.

  • Gold Targets Key Resistance as CPI Approaches

    Gold price has been climbing this month, with significant resistance above the 1830 mark. Prices increased as a result of a recent crossover of the 20-day and 50-day Simple Moving Averages (SMAs). 

    If the gold bulls fail to break through the 1830 level, a retracement to the rising 20-day SMA could be in order. A psychological barrier around 1800 is a likely downside objective.

    Gold price surged overnight as traders pondered interest rate bets. Price soared beyond the high-profile 1800 mark last week after the Bank of England surprised investors by leaving interest rates steady. 

    The 10-year Treasury yield climbed overnight but fell short of the psychological mark of 1.5 percent. The closely watched rate fell throughout Tuesday’s Asia-Pacific session, allowing gold to gain.

    gold

    Last week, rate hike bets on the Federal Reserve shifted to the right, with rate traders pricing in a less aggressive policy path. On Tuesday, the chance of a 25 basis point hike at the June 2022 FOMC meeting fell to 45.5 percent, down from 47.4 percent a week earlier. Despite the fact that the employment data was stronger than predicted.

    For rate-sensitive gold price, the Fed’s prediction is critical. Traders are still anticipating the publication of US inflation data later this week. The Fed’s outlook is an essential determinant for rate-sensitive gold price. Nonetheless, traders are anticipating the publication of US inflation data later this week.

    While Fed Chair Powell maintains that rising price pressures are just temporary, he recently recognised that inflation has been more stubborn than previously believed. However, a few more months of robust inflation data might push rate hike forecasts forward.

  • EURUSD Update For Oct 21st 2021

    Price EURUSD at the time of writing this – 1.1655

    Price EURUSD at the time of writing this – 1.1655
    The return of the Euro from 1.1617 to 1.1658 yesterday suggests that Tuesday’s re-test near the 3 week high of 1.1669 will take place soon. A violation of which will increase the rise (per our view) from October 1.1525 up to 1.1700- 05. However, ‘loss of upward pressure’ should limit the price below resistance to 1.1755 this week.  On the downside, only a daily close below 1.1617 indicates that the reversal is over, then the trend will turn bearish towards 1.1572 next week.

    Data to be released Today:
    Continuing jobless claims, U.S. initial jobless claims, existing home sales, e, Canada ADP employment change, leading index change, new housing price index, and EU consumer confidence.

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